Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social JudgmentPrentice-Hall, 1980 - 334 pages |
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Page 144
... base rates were reversed — that is , the five per- sonality sketches were purported to have been drawn at random ... rate information . For instance , subjects in the low base - rate condition for engineers were asked to estimate " the ...
... base rates were reversed — that is , the five per- sonality sketches were purported to have been drawn at random ... rate information . For instance , subjects in the low base - rate condition for engineers were asked to estimate " the ...
Page 158
... base rates seem consistent with a causal theory . That is , people can ap ... rate information . In Ajzen's study , subjects were asked to assess the ... base - rate data on the percentage of passes and failures in the sample from which ...
... base rates seem consistent with a causal theory . That is , people can ap ... rate information . In Ajzen's study , subjects were asked to assess the ... base - rate data on the percentage of passes and failures in the sample from which ...
Page 159
... base rates provided , and instead based their judgments primarily on the reliability of the eye witnesses ' color identifica- tions . Other subjects were told that though the town had an equal number of ... base rate . Such a Prediction 159.
... base rates provided , and instead based their judgments primarily on the reliability of the eye witnesses ' color identifica- tions . Other subjects were told that though the town had an equal number of ... base rate . Such a Prediction 159.
Table des matières
inferential problems and the formal scientific | 8 |
summary | 15 |
the representativeness heuristic | 24 |
Droits d'auteur | |
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Autres éditions - Tout afficher
Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment Richard E. Nisbett,Lee Ross Affichage d'extraits - 1980 |
Expressions et termes fréquents
ability accuracy accurate actor Amos Tversky assessment attribution theory availability heuristic base rates base-rate behavior beliefs bias biased causal analysis causal attribution causal explanations causal theories causes chapter characterization classical conditioning cognitive colleagues concrete condition consensus information correlation covariation Daniel Kahneman Daryl Bem debriefing demonstration diagnostic domain effects estimates everyday evidence example experience experimental failure formal fundamental attribution error given human hypothesis Illusory correlation impact implications important individual inferences inferential strategies inferential tasks influence intuitive scientist judgments Kahneman knowledge structures layperson less likelihood manipulations motivational Nisbett and Wilson normative object observers one's outcomes particular people's perception perseverance person preconceptions predictions predictor primacy effects probably probative problems processes psychology question regression relatively relevant reported representativeness heuristic response Ross sample sample bias schema script seems simple situation Social Psychology sometimes sophomore slump statistical stereotypes stimuli target tendency tion Tversky typical variable versus vivid information