The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction, Sixth Edition

Couverture
CRC Press, 30 mars 2016 - 352 pages

Since 1975, The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction has introduced legions of statistics students and researchers to the theory and practice of time series analysis. With each successive edition, bestselling author Chris Chatfield has honed and refined his presentation, updated the material to reflect advances in the field, and presented interesting new data sets.

The sixth edition is no exception. It provides an accessible, comprehensive introduction to the theory and practice of time series analysis. The treatment covers a wide range of topics, including ARIMA probability models, forecasting methods, spectral analysis, linear systems, state-space models, and the Kalman filter. It also addresses nonlinear, multivariate, and long-memory models. The author has carefully updated each chapter, added new discussions, incorporated new datasets, and made those datasets available for download from www.crcpress.com. A free online appendix on time series analysis using R can be accessed at http://people.bath.ac.uk/mascc/TSA.usingR.doc.

Highlights of the Sixth Edition:

  • A new section on handling real data
  • New discussion on prediction intervals
  • A completely revised and restructured chapter on more advanced topics, with new material on the aggregation of time series, analyzing time series in finance, and discrete-valued time series
  • A new chapter of examples and practical advice
  • Thorough updates and revisions throughout the text that reflect recent developments and dramatic changes in computing practices over the last few years

The analysis of time series can be a difficult topic, but as this book has demonstrated for two-and-a-half decades, it does not have to be daunting. The accessibility, polished presentation, and broad coverage of The Analysis of Time Series make it simply the best introduction to the subject available.

 

Table des matières

1 Introduction
1
2 Simple Descriptive Techniques
11
3 Some TimeSeries Models
33
4 Fitting TimeSeries Models in the Time Domain
55
5 Forecasting
73
6 Stationary Processes in the Frequency Domain
107
7 Spectral Analysis
121
8 Bivariate processes
155
12 Multivariate TimeSeries Modelling
241
13 Some More Advanced Topics
255
14 Examples and Practical Advice
277
A Fourier Laplace and zTransfonns
295
B Dirac Delta Function
299
C Covariance and Correlation
301
D Some MINITAB and SPLUS Commands
303
Answers to Exercises
307

9 Linear Systems
169
10 StateSpace Models and the Kalman Filter
203
11 NonLinear Models
217
References
315
Back Cover
334
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Page vii - I think you might do something better with the time," she said, "than wasting it in asking riddles that have no answers.
Page iii - Probability — Methods and Measurement A. O'Hagan Problem Solving — A Statistician's Guide, Second Edition C. Chatfield Randomization, Bootstrap and Monte Carlo Methods in Biology, Second Edition BFJ Manly Readings in Decision Analysis S. French Sampling Methodologies...
Page iii - Altman Probability — Methods and Measurement A. O'Hagan Problem Solving — A Statistician's Guide, Second Edition C. Chatfield Randomization, Bootstrap and Monte Carlo Methods in Biology, Second Edition B.FJ. Manly Readings in Decision Analysis S. French Sampling Methodologies with Applications Poduri SRS Rao Statistical Analysis of Reliability Data MJ Crowder, AC Kimber, TJ Sweeting, and RL Smith Statistical Methods for SPC and TQM D. Bissell Statistical Methods in Agriculture and Experimental...
Page vii - Ah! that accounts for it," said the Hatter. "He won't stand beating. Now, if you only kept on good terms with him, he'd do almost anything you liked with the clock. For instance, suppose it were nine o'clock in the morning, just time to begin lessons: you'd only have to whisper a hint to Time, and round goes the clock in a twinkling!
Page vii - I don't know what you mean," said Alice. "Of course you don't!" the Hatter said, tossing his head contemptuously. "I dare say you never even spoke to Time!" "Perhaps not," Alice cautiously replied, "but 1 know I have to beat time when I learn music.
Page iii - ... Reliability Data MJ Crowder, AC Kimber, TJ Sweeting, and RL Smith Statistical Methods for SPC and TQM D. Bissell Statistical Methods in Agriculture and Experimental Biology, Second Edition R. Mead, RN Curnow, and AM Hasted Statistical Process Control — Theory and Practice, Third Edition GB Wetherill and DW Brown Statistical Theory, Fourth Edition BW Lindgren Statistics for Accountants, Fourth Edition S.

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